How it works

A value bet appears when a soft bookmaker prices a selection higher than the probability implied by a sharp line with the margin removed. This site is a sample of that comparison.

Fair probability

Fair odds are the reference price from a book such as Pinnacle or Betfair after the margin is removed. Fair probability is the inverse of that price.

p = 1 / fairOdds

Expected value

EV is positive when the soft-book odds on the same pick are higher than the fair odds.

EV% = (odds × p − 1) × 100

Kelly

The Kelly fraction is the share of the bankroll that matches the edge. A negative fraction is shown as zero.

f = max(0, (b × p − (1 − p)) / b), b = odds − 1

What the table filters

• Sport, prematch or live, and bookmaker
• Minimum EV and an odds range
• Time until kickoff. Live rows stay visible when a time window is set.

Filters are saved in this browser. An odds feed is not connected yet.